ECB cuts rates to 2% as Trump tariffs cloud outlook
Eighth reduction in current cycle comes with inflation below target but trade uncertainty threatening growth forecasts across the eurozone
Wednesday, 2 September 2026Europe
Independent · Brussels & Berlin
Europe · page 8 of 8
Eighth reduction in current cycle comes with inflation below target but trade uncertainty threatening growth forecasts across the eurozone
The quarter-point move brings the deposit facility rate down from its 4% peak, but policymakers signal caution on further easing amid trade uncertainty and sticky core inflation.
The European Commission and ECB have confirmed Bulgaria meets convergence criteria, but domestic opposition remains fierce as the country prepares to become the 21st eurozone member.
European Commission and ECB approve 21st eurozone member after inflation falls to 2.7% and debt sits at 24.1% of GDP, but FATF gray listing and corruption concerns remain unresolved.
Flash data shows headline inflation below the 2% target for the first time since 2021, with services prices cooling sharply after an Easter distortion.
WEF founder says he met ECB president in April to plan leadership transition for early 2027, but Frankfurt insists she will serve her full term ending in October.
Three decades after the Nitrates Directive, a third of Europe's freshwater still exceeds pollution limits while the Baltic Sea hosts the world's largest dead zone. Political pressure from farmers is weakening what little enforcement exists.
The National Bank of Poland now holds 509.3 tonnes of gold, marginally more than the ECB's 506.5 tonnes, after a decade of accelerated purchases that began in earnest after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
The European Commission's delayed plan bans new Russian gas contracts this year and all imports by 2027, yet Russian LNG flows rose 18% in 2024 and France increased purchases by 81%.
Senior official Henrik Hololei faces internal investigation for alleged conflicts of interest and unauthorized gift acceptance linked to EU-Qatar aviation agreement, five months after European prosecutors launched criminal inquiry.
Flash Eurostat data shows stronger start to 2025 than surveys indicated, but US tariffs and weak sentiment cloud the outlook for the rest of the year.
Mārtiņš Kazāks argues the trade war forces overdue integration but warns recession risk is not trivial as IMF cuts euro area growth to 0.8% for 2025.
Third quarter-point reduction this year reflects deteriorating growth prospects after US imposes 10% blanket tariff on EU goods, with further 10% threatened for July.
Benchmark rate falls to 2.25 percent, its lowest since November 2022, as Trump tariffs force policymakers to prioritise growth over lingering price pressures.
Markets price 94% chance of quarter-point reduction to 2.25% as trade tensions override previous expectations of a pause in the easing cycle
A European Commission-commissioned study evaluating two decades of non-cartel decisions reveals a stark gap between remedy implementation and actual market impact, with structural remedies outperforming behavioural ones.
ECFR policy brief details the EU's economic and regulatory tools to deter US coercion, from the Anti-Coercion Instrument to financial market rules.
The European Central Bank lowered its deposit rate by 25 basis points while Germany's plans for massive defence and infrastructure borrowing triggered the sharpest Bund sell-off since 1997, pushing eurozone borrowing costs in opposite directions.
Spain, Portugal and Greece drive euro area growth while Germany records a second consecutive annual contraction, exposing a deepening north-south divide that economists say cannot be bridged by the periphery alone.
European Commission president unveils Competitiveness Compass promising 25 per cent cut in administrative burdens, but green groups and unions warn against deregulation by stealth.
The newsletter
Delivered to your inbox on the days we publish. No daily digest, no push notifications, no advertising.